Current federal funds rate (upper bound): 1.75%Forecast for
end of 2020: 1.75%
Economists say that the threshold is high for policy
adjustments in the near term, particularly for rate hikes. The force to stand
pat will increase as the U.S. election draws nearer, making the policymakers
less concerned about the risks like trade tensions, below-target inflation, and
indolent global growth.
European Central bank
Current deposit rate: -0.5%Forecast for end of 2020: -0.5%
Economists and investors anticipate rates to stay on hold
and QE to continue through the whole of 2020 and beyond. But the central bank
may yet be examined again if the economy stumbles under trade uncertainties or
the bloc's manufacturing melts down.
Bank Of Japan
Current policy-rate balance: -0.1%Forecast for end of 2020:
-0.1%
After the launching of government schemes to promote
growth, next year for japan looks a little lighter, retaining the banks on
hold. It is not that the inflation has totally improved, but there would be
less urgency.
People's Bank of China
Current 1-year best lending rate: 4.35%Current 7-day OMO
reverse repo rate: 2.50%Forecast for end of 2020: 4.35%; 2.35%
The economists worry that if weakness in the world’s
second-largest economy worsens, then the central bank would have to continue to
release cash into the system. It is estimated that the economic growth might
slow down to 6% till the next year.
Reserve bank of India
Current repo rate: 5.15%Forecast for end of 2020: 4.7%
Inflation would be pushed closer as we see there is a hike
in the prices of onions, this would certainly affect the Reserve bank's Target
band. "RBI's accommodative stance signals that room for further easing is
available.” — Abhishek Gupta
Bank of Russia
Current key rate: 6.25%Forecast for end of 2020: 6%
There is a serious undershoot of 4% target, the next issue
after years of controlling inflation. Policymakers are likely to evaluate the
150 points of reduction since June. "Signs of a firmer rebound in
inflation, as President Vladimir Putin's fiscal stimulus finally gets going,
might put the policy on hold for longer.” — Scott Johnson
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