The Government recently declared fusion
of several state and national banks. The motive behind this step, according to
the government, is to create larger as well as healthier lenders in the Indian
economy.Such mergers are expected to plummet the number of
state-owned banks from 27 to 12. However, the duration which is needed for
integration supplemented by the challenges related to staff, branch and other
internal procedures are posited to be the primary jeopardies. These mergers
will culminate in state-run banks being exceedingly hectic for a prolonged
period of time. The ripples of this extensive integration process will encourage
private banks to further consolidate their business market share.
These mergers
are ostensibly tangible and would reinvigorate the banking system in the medium
and long run. However, such a move, at a time when the economy is growing at its
slowest pace in six years is being considered a 'diversion' by some analysts.
This government announcement is being painted as a step to divert the attention
from the economic lag to the merger of banks. A side effect of such a move may
lead to the credit growth plunging as it did in 2016, when demonetization by Mr.
Modi made bankers accountable for exchanging old bills for new, leaving them with
no time to dispense loans.
On a secondary note, it has been observed that historically
when state-owned banks merge, smaller banks' loan-book growth decelerates, as
the chief focus of management shifts to integration. Businesses may also be
disrupted by strikes threatened by the banks' employee unions. Thus, even
though this step will prove to be valuable in the future, it will create
substantial inconvenience right now.
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